IJSR International Journal of Scientific Research 2277 - 8179 Indian Society for Health and Advanced Research ijsr-8-12-23361 Original Research Paper Explanatory Artificial Intelligence (XAI) in the prediction of post-operative life expectancy in lung cancer patients Siddhartha Dr. Rajendra Nath Dr. December 2019 8 12 01 02 ABSTRACT

In this paper, we present the application of bagging based ensemble technique i.e., Random Forest to predict survival status of lung cancer patients who underwent major lung resections for primary lung cancer using thoracic surgery. Further we interpret the random forest ensemble machine learning model to find out the reasons for particular prediction also known as explanatory artificial intelligence (XAI).The data used for this paper is thoracic surgery patient’s data, in which data was collected retrospectively at Wroclaw Thoracic Surgery Centre in the year 2007 and 2011. As it is highly imbalanced data so to prevent machine learning classifier to predict biased decision in favor of majority class we used the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) to deal with it. The proposed solution combines the benefits of using bagging based ensemble method with identification and interpretation of risk factors in classifying survival status of lung cancer patients which can help assist the medical practitioner in their diagnosis