Volume : VII, Issue : VII, July - 2018

Time Series Forecasting of Postponement Rates In Operation Theatres Of Advanced Cardiac Centre - An Optimization Strategy

Momia Yashpal, Koushal Vipin, Talati Shweta, Hemant Bhagat

Abstract :

 Introduction Hospital contributes significant Tangible and Intangible resources on a concurred plan by the scheduling of surgery in OT List.

Postponement decreases efficiency by declining throughput leads to wastage of resources hence burden to the nation. Patients and their family face
economic and emotional implication due to the postponement. Postponement Rate being a quality indicator, control check mechanism could be
developed from the results. Postponement of elective scheduled operations results in inefficient use of operating room (OR) time on the day of
surgery. Inconvenience to patients and families also caused by postponements. Moreover, a day of surgery (DOS) postponement creates logistic
and financial burden associated with extended hospital stay and repetitions of pre–operative preparations to an extent of repetition of investigations
in some cases causing escalated costs, wastage of time and reduced income.
Methodology A cross–sectional study was done in the operation theaters of a tertiary care hospital in which total ten operation theaters of General
Surgery Data of scheduled, performed and postponed surgeries was collected from all the operation theater with effect from March 1st to
September 30th, 2018. A questionnaire was developed to find out the reasons for the postponement for all hospital‘s stakeholders (Surgeons,
Anesthetist, Nursing officer) and they were further evaluated Time series analysis of scheduling of Operation Theater for Moving average
Technique.
Results Total 958 surgeries were scheduled and 772 surgeries performed were and 186 surgeries were postponed with a postponement rate of
19.42% in the cardiac surgery department during the study period during the study period. Month–wise postponement Rate exponential smoothing
of time series data shows the dynamic of operating suits. To test the throughput Postponement Rate was plotted the postponed surgeries and on
regression analysis are in a perfect linear relationship.

Keywords :

Article: Download PDF   DOI : 10.36106/ijsr  

Cite This Article:

Momia Yashpal, Koushal Vipin, Talati Shweta, Hemant Bhagat, Time Series Forecasting of Postponement Rates In Operation Theatres Of Advanced Cardiac Centre‾An Optimization Strategy, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH : Volume-7 | Issue-7 | July-2018


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