Volume : IX, Issue : VIII, August - 2020

VARIATION IN GROWTH FACTOR OF COVID-19 IN INDIA AND ITS TIMING TO APPROACH ZERO

Brijesh P. Singh, Sandeep Singh

Abstract :

COVID–19 is one of the most dreadful diseases that world has ever faced. India is also fighting efficiently against COVID–19 and facing greater challenges because of its large population and high population density. Though the government of India is taking all needful steps to prevent its spread but it is not enough to control and stop spread of the disease as of now (July, 2020), perhaps due to defiant nature of people living in India. They are not following properly, the request made by Prime Minister during the lock down period or free period. Effective measure to control this disease, medical professionals needs to know the estimated size of this pandemic and pace. In this study Logistic growth model proves its significance and enable to estimate the size and pace. It shows the behavior of growth factor converging towards the zero. On the basis of data on COVID–19 from mid march to mid July and trend of growth factor obtained by logistic curve, it has been observed that by the mid of October, the growth factor expected to reach zero i.e. no increase in COVID–19 thereafter if the present scenario remains same.

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Article: Download PDF    DOI : 10.36106/ijsr  

Cite This Article:

VARIATION IN GROWTH FACTOR OF COVID-19 IN INDIA AND ITS TIMING TO APPROACH ZERO, Brijesh P. Singh, Sandeep Singh INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH : Volume-9 | Issue-8 | August-2020

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