Volume : IV, Issue : VIII, August - 2014

Development of Tapi River Flood Water Surface Profileby Using Arima 1–D Model

G. I. Joshi, Dr. S. S. Mujumdar

Abstract :

The Indian sub–continent in general, and the western peninsula in particular, experienced heavy floods during 8th to 11th August 2006 that cause great damage to personal and property. Surat has been blessed by the flow of Tapi however it has also suffered a lot because of floods in Tapi since historic time. There have been several flood events known to us since late 19th century; which has done great damage to this city. The most unforgettable and severe event was the flood of 2006. This flood caused damages on flood embankment and retaining wall at many places. It also resulted in losses of municipal properties like Roads, equipments, material, street lights, infrastructures, furniture–assets, records in addition to buildings. The flood also resulted in total losses of Indian Rupees 21000 Crores in the year 2006. This flood event of 2006 signified concern on flood protection and control as such frequent event causes extensive damage to public property, infrastructure, agriculture, trade, industries, wages etc. along with loss to private properties and business establishments in general. Keeping in view the serious concern of revised Ukai dam reservoir operation for flood protection & control, it feels the research in that direction for minimization of Tapi river flood impacts –Surat (Gujarat) is of vital importance. Tapi River flood water surface profile predicted while passing through Surat city by using ARIMA 1–D mathematical model at different conditions of flood frequency at various locations.

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Article: Download PDF   DOI : 10.36106/ijar  

Cite This Article:

G. I. JOSHI, Dr. S. S. MUJUMDAR Development of Tapi River Flood Water Surface Profileby Using Arima 1-D Model Indian Journal of Applied Research, Vol.4, Issue.8 August 2014

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